Earth's Changing Climate
Overview
About
01: Is Earth Warming?
The course begins with a look at Earth's average temperature over the past century and a half, which shows an overall warming trend. How do scientists take Earth's temperature, and how do they interpret the pattern of variation?
02: Butterflies, Glaciers, and Hurricanes
This lecture looks at more subtle indicators of climate change and shows how statistical analysis reveals clear "fingerprints" of change on a host of natural systems.
03: Ice Ages and Beyond
Thermometer-based temperature records go back only 150 years. This lecture explores techniques that scientists use to push the global temperature record back millions, even billions of years.
04: In the Greenhouse
Stable climate entails a balance between incoming sunlight and outgoing infrared radiation. Infrared-absorbing greenhouse gases in a planet's atmosphere alter the details of this balance, causing the planet's surface to warm.
05: A Tale of Three Planets
How do we know that greenhouse gases such as water vapor and carbon dioxide are associated with the warming of Earth's surface? Nature provides a climate "experiment" on neighbor planets Venus and Mars.
06: Global Recycling
Cycling of materials plays a role in climate, with the most important cycles being those of water and carbon. Carbon added to the system stays for centuries to millennia and adds to the atmospheric carbon content, enhancing the greenhouse effect.
07: The Human Factor
Fossil fuel burning by humans has increased the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere by nearly 40 percent since the start of the Industrial Revolution—to levels the planet has not seen in at least a million years.
08: Computing the Future
Climate models are mathematical descriptions, exploring how climate behaves in response to human-induced changes and natural factors. Most models project a global temperature rise of several degrees Celsius over the next century.
09: Impacts of Climate Change
A temperature rise of only a few degrees will have significant effects. The rise will be more substantial particularly in the polar regions and over almost all land.
10: Energy and Climate
Energy use is the dominant reason for our increasing influence on Earth's climate. Per capita energy consumption in the United States is more than 100 times our own bodies' energy output, meaning that we have the equivalent of about 100 "energy servants" each.
11: Energy—Resources and Alternatives
The fossil fuels that supply most of the world's energy have many deleterious environmental impacts, one of which is the emission of climate-changing greenhouse gases. This lecture surveys alternative energy resources.
12: Sustainable Futures?
Avoiding disruptive climate change in the future probably means keeping atmospheric carbon dioxide to at most a doubling of its preindustrial level. This final lecture discusses several possible paths to a stable climate.